The Verdict
Villarreal have been finishing above their xG all season. The surplus is a warning sign for backers.
Best bet: Villarreal or Under 2.5 Goals
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Monday 6 April at 19:00 | La Liga
Girona sit 14th in the La Liga on 34 points. Their visitors Villarreal are 3rd on 58. Girona's recent form reads LWDLD. Villarreal come in with WDWLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Girona | Villarreal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 14th | 3rd |
| Points | 34 | 58 |
| Record | 8W 10D 11L | 18W 4D 7L |
| Goals Scored | 31 (1.1/game) | 54 (1.9/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 44 (1.5/game) | 34 (1.2/game) |
| Goal Difference | -13 | +20 |
| xG | 39.8 (1.33/game) | 41 (1.37/game) |
| xGA | 44.1 (1.47/game) | 36.9 (1.23/game) |
| Form | LWDLD | WDWLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Girona Win | 3.11 | 32% | 3.07 | 33% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 27% | 3.63 | 28% |
| Villarreal Win | 2.47 | 40% | 2.51 | 42% |
Based on 49 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Villarreal.
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