The Verdict
Goals look likely — Paris Saint Germain average 2.3 scored and 0.9 conceded per game; Lyon: 1.5 scored, 1 conceded. That's 3.8 combined goals per game. Paris Saint Germain have outscored their xG by 5.4 goals this season. That clinical edge is unsustainable — the goals will slow down.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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Sunday 19 April at 18:45 | Ligue 1
Paris Saint Germain sit 1st in the Ligue 1 on 63 points. Their visitors Lyon are 6th on 48. Paris Saint Germain's recent form reads WWLWW. Lyon come in with DLDDL.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Paris Saint Germain | Lyon |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 6th |
| Points | 63 | 48 |
| Record | 20W 3D 4L | 14W 6D 8L |
| Goals Scored | 61 (2.3/game) | 41 (1.5/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 23 (0.9/game) | 29 (1/game) |
| Goal Difference | +38 | +12 |
| xG | 63.6 (2.12/game) | 47.1 (1.57/game) |
| xGA | 25.9 (0.86/game) | 37.6 (1.25/game) |
| Form | WWLWW | DLDDL |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paris Saint Germain Win | 1.37 | 73% | 1.36 | 74% |
| Draw | 6.16 | 16% | 6.38 | 17% |
| Lyon Win | 9.30 | 11% | 9.31 | 12% |
Based on 54 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Paris Saint Germain.
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