The Verdict
With 51 bookmakers unable to separate these two, the draw at 3.47 (29% implied) deserves serious consideration. Rayo Vallecano are creating 1.3 xG per game but only converting 0.9. An offensive uptick is due.
Best bet: Draw at 3.47
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Sunday 26 April at 12:00 | La Liga
Rayo Vallecano sit 11th in the La Liga on 38 points. Their visitors Real Sociedad are 8th on 42. Rayo Vallecano's recent form reads WLWLD. Real Sociedad come in with LDWLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Rayo Vallecano | Real Sociedad |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 8th |
| Points | 38 | 42 |
| Record | 9W 11D 12L | 11W 9D 12L |
| Goals Scored | 30 (0.9/game) | 49 (1.5/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 38 (1.2/game) | 49 (1.5/game) |
| Goal Difference | -8 | +0 |
| xG | 39 (1.3/game) | 42.2 (1.41/game) |
| xGA | 38.8 (1.29/game) | 45.9 (1.53/game) |
| Form | WLWLD | LDWLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rayo Vallecano Win | 2.81 | 36% | 2.80 | 36% |
| Draw | 3.47 | 29% | 3.49 | 30% |
| Real Sociedad Win | 2.82 | 36% | 2.81 | 36% |
Based on 51 bookmakers. Agreement: 39% lean toward Rayo Vallecano.
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