The Verdict
Atlético Madrid at 2.60 is the market's pick and the fundamentals support it. Sevilla at 3.20 only makes sense if you believe their recent trajectory is shifting.
Best bet: Atlético Madrid to win at 2.60
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Saturday 11 April at 19:00 | La Liga
Sevilla sit 17th in the La Liga on 31 points. Their visitors Atlético Madrid are 4th on 57. Sevilla's recent form reads LLLDD. Atlético Madrid come in with LLWWW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Sevilla | Atlético Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 17th | 4th |
| Points | 31 | 57 |
| Record | 8W 7D 15L | 17W 6D 7L |
| Goals Scored | 37 (1.2/game) | 50 (1.7/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 50 (1.7/game) | 30 (1/game) |
| Goal Difference | -13 | +20 |
| Form | LLLDD | LLWWW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sevilla Win | 3.20 | 31% | 3.21 | 32% |
| Draw | 3.29 | 30% | 3.27 | 31% |
| Atlético Madrid Win | 2.60 | 38% | 2.61 | 40% |
Based on 48 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Atlético Madrid.
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