The Verdict
Goals look likely — Southampton average 1.6 scored and 1.2 conceded per game; Arsenal: 2 scored, 0.7 conceded. That's 3.6 combined goals per game. Arsenal have been finishing above their xG all season. The surplus is a warning sign for backers.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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Saturday 4 April at 19:00 | FA Cup
Southampton sit 6th in the FA Cup on 63 points. Their visitors Arsenal are 1st on 70. Southampton's recent form reads W. Arsenal come in with W.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Southampton | Arsenal |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 1st |
| Points | 63 | 70 |
| Record | 17W 12D 10L | 21W 7D 3L |
| Goals Scored | 63 (1.6/game) | 61 (2/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 48 (1.2/game) | 22 (0.7/game) |
| Goal Difference | +15 | +39 |
| xG | 45.4 (1.57/game) | 46.5 (1.79/game) |
| xGA | 37.8 (1.3/game) | 18.2 (0.7/game) |
| Form | W | W |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Southampton Win | 10.76 | 9% | 10.67 | 11% |
| Draw | 6.05 | 17% | 6.20 | 18% |
| Arsenal Win | 1.35 | 74% | 1.34 | 76% |
Based on 42 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Arsenal.
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