The Verdict
Paris Saint Germain's xG output (2.15/game) actually betters Chelsea's (1.68), despite what the odds suggest. There's potential value on the away side at 3.16.
Best bet: Paris Saint Germain to win at 3.16
View player prop markets for detailed player-level edges →
Place your bet at bet365 | Bet £10 Get £30 in Bet Credits — Claim offer at bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 in Bet Credits
Tuesday 17 March at 20:00 | Champions League
Chelsea sit 6th in the Champions League on 16 points. Their visitors Paris Saint Germain are 11th on 14. Chelsea's recent form reads WWLWD. Paris Saint Germain come in with DLDWL.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Chelsea | Paris Saint Germain |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 6th | 11th |
| Points | 16 | 14 |
| Record | 5W 1D 2L | 4W 2D 2L |
| Goals Scored | 17 (2.1/game) | 21 (2.6/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 10 (1.3/game) | 11 (1.4/game) |
| Goal Difference | +7 | +10 |
| xG | 28.6 (1.68/game) | 60.3 (2.15/game) |
| xGA | 19 (1.12/game) | 32.7 (1.17/game) |
| Form | WWLWD | DLDWL |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chelsea Win | 2.20 | 45% | 2.18 | 46% |
| Draw | 4.35 | 23% | 4.55 | 24% |
| Paris Saint Germain Win | 3.16 | 32% | 3.11 | 32% |
Based on 52 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Chelsea.
Place your bet at bet365 | Bet £10 Get £30 in Bet Credits — Claim offer at bet365
Bet £10 Get £30 in Bet Credits
More from wagerbase
Champions League Predictions | Accumulators | Steam Moves | Model Wars | Odds Comparison | Player Props