Sunday 15 March at 17:00 | Serie A
Como sit 4th in the Serie A on 51 points. Their visitors AS Roma are 5th on 51. Como's recent form reads WWWDL. AS Roma come in with LDWDW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Como | AS Roma |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 4th | 5th |
| Points | 51 | 51 |
| Record | 14W 9D 5L | 16W 3D 9L |
| Goals Scored | 46 (1.6/game) | 38 (1.4/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 21 (0.8/game) | 21 (0.8/game) |
| Goal Difference | +25 | +17 |
| xG | 56.6 (1.89/game) | 42 (1.4/game) |
| xGA | 26.8 (0.89/game) | 27.8 (0.93/game) |
| Form | WWWDL | LDWDW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Como Win | 2.21 | 45% | 2.17 | 46% |
| Draw | 3.52 | 28% | 3.52 | 29% |
| AS Roma Win | 3.80 | 26% | 3.92 | 27% |
Based on 55 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Como.
The Verdict
Defensively, AS Roma are rock solid at 0.8 per game. The low-scoring angle is backed by the data. On expected goals, Como (1.89/game) are the sharper attacking side. That gap matters over 90 minutes.
Best bet: BTTS No
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