The Verdict
FC Midtjylland have outscored their xG by 5.5 goals this season. That clinical edge is unsustainable — the goals will slow down.
Best bet: FC Midtjylland or Under 2.5 Goals
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Thursday 19 March at 17:45 | Europa League
FC Midtjylland sit 3rd in the Europa League on 19 points. Their visitors Nottingham Forest are 13th on 14. FC Midtjylland's recent form reads WDWLW. Nottingham Forest come in with WLWWD.
Season Numbers
| Metric | FC Midtjylland | Nottingham Forest |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 13th |
| Points | 19 | 14 |
| Record | 6W 1D 1L | 4W 2D 2L |
| Goals Scored | 18 (2.3/game) | 15 (1.9/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 8 (1/game) | 7 (0.9/game) |
| Goal Difference | +10 | +8 |
| xG | 13.5 (1.5/game) | 23.1 (2.1/game) |
| xGA | 12.6 (1.4/game) | 8.2 (0.75/game) |
| Form | WDWLW | WLWWD |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| FC Midtjylland Win | 3.21 | 31% | 3.23 | 32% |
| Draw | 3.65 | 27% | 3.63 | 28% |
| Nottingham Forest Win | 2.41 | 41% | 2.41 | 42% |
Based on 49 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Nottingham Forest.
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