Saturday 14 March at 17:00 | Süper Lig
Galatasaray sit 1st in the Süper Lig on 61 points. Their visitors Basaksehir are 5th on 42. Galatasaray's recent form reads WWLWW. Basaksehir come in with WWWLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Galatasaray | Basaksehir |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 5th |
| Points | 61 | 42 |
| Record | 19W 4D 2L | 12W 6D 7L |
| Goals Scored | 59 (2.4/game) | 44 (1.8/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 18 (0.7/game) | 27 (1.1/game) |
| Goal Difference | +41 | +17 |
| xG | 63.3 (2.11/game) | 50.2 (1.67/game) |
| xGA | 29.8 (0.99/game) | 42.7 (1.42/game) |
| Form | WWLWW | WWWLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Galatasaray Win | 1.72 | 58% | 1.74 | 59% |
| Draw | 4.56 | 22% | 4.59 | 23% |
| Basaksehir Win | 4.99 | 20% | 4.83 | 21% |
Based on 46 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Galatasaray.
The Verdict
Goals look likely — Galatasaray average 2.4 scored and 0.7 conceded per game; Basaksehir: 1.8 scored, 1.1 conceded. That's 4.2 combined goals per game. Galatasaray have outscored their xG by 8.7 goals this season. That clinical edge is unsustainable — the goals will slow down.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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