The Verdict
Goals look likely — Hearts average 1.7 scored and 0.8 conceded per game; Motherwell: 1.6 scored, 0.8 conceded. That's 3.3 combined goals per game. Motherwell have been finishing above their xG all season. The surplus is a warning sign for backers.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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Saturday 11 April at 14:00 | Scottish Premiership
Hearts sit 1st in the Scottish Premiership on 67 points. Their visitors Motherwell are 4th on 54. Hearts's recent form reads DWLWW. Motherwell come in with LDLLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Hearts | Motherwell |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 1st | 4th |
| Points | 67 | 54 |
| Record | 20W 7D 5L | 14W 12D 6L |
| Goals Scored | 55 (1.7/game) | 51 (1.6/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 27 (0.8/game) | 26 (0.8/game) |
| Goal Difference | +28 | +25 |
| xG | 28.7 (1.51/game) | 29 (1.45/game) |
| xGA | 16.9 (0.89/game) | 20 (1/game) |
| Form | DWLWW | LDLLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hearts Win | 2.10 | 48% | 2.04 | 48% |
| Draw | 3.73 | 27% | 3.69 | 28% |
| Motherwell Win | 3.90 | 26% | 4.18 | 26% |
Based on 46 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Hearts.
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