The Verdict
With 50 bookmakers unable to separate these two, the draw at 3.55 (28% implied) deserves serious consideration. Neither side can buy a win right now — Heracles Almelo (LDLLL), Excelsior (LLLLL). The draw at 3.55 has to be considered.
Best bet: Draw at 3.55
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Friday 20 March at 19:00 | Eredivisie
Heracles Almelo sit 18th in the Eredivisie on 18 points. Their visitors Excelsior are 15th on 26. Heracles Almelo's recent form reads LDLLL. Excelsior come in with LLLLL.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Heracles Almelo | Excelsior |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 18th | 15th |
| Points | 18 | 26 |
| Record | 5W 3D 19L | 7W 5D 15L |
| Goals Scored | 32 (1.2/game) | 28 (1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 69 (2.6/game) | 46 (1.7/game) |
| Goal Difference | -37 | -18 |
| Form | LDLLL | LLLLL |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Heracles Almelo Win | 2.64 | 38% | 2.74 | 39% |
| Draw | 3.55 | 28% | 3.27 | 31% |
| Excelsior Win | 2.94 | 34% | 3.03 | 35% |
Based on 50 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Heracles Almelo.
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