The Verdict
Liverpool are creating 2.38 xG per game but only converting 2.5. An offensive uptick is due. Form screams home win — Liverpool (WWWLW) are flying while Galatasaray (LDLLW) are struggling. Liverpool at 1.32 with home advantage.
Best bet: Liverpool to win at 1.32
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Wednesday 18 March at 20:00 | Champions League
Liverpool sit 3rd in the Champions League on 18 points. Their visitors Galatasaray are 20th on 10. Liverpool's recent form reads WWWLW. Galatasaray come in with LDLLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Liverpool | Galatasaray |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 3rd | 20th |
| Points | 18 | 10 |
| Record | 6W 0D 2L | 3W 1D 4L |
| Goals Scored | 20 (2.5/game) | 9 (1.1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 8 (1/game) | 11 (1.4/game) |
| Goal Difference | +12 | -2 |
| xG | 64.2 (2.38/game) | 34.2 (1.71/game) |
| xGA | 25.5 (0.94/game) | 35.4 (1.77/game) |
| Form | WWWLW | LDLLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Liverpool Win | 1.32 | 76% | 1.33 | 77% |
| Draw | 6.92 | 15% | 6.76 | 16% |
| Galatasaray Win | 10.06 | 10% | 9.97 | 11% |
Based on 54 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Liverpool.
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