Manchester City vs Liverpool: FA Cup Preview

Match Preview

Manchester City vs Liverpool: FA Cup Preview

Generated 30 March 2026 at 12:01

Saturday 4 April at 11:45 | FA Cup

The Verdict

Manchester City are rightful favourites at 1.88 across 41 bookmakers. Interestingly, Liverpool's underlying numbers (2.03 xG/game) are stronger than Manchester City's (1.66). The price may not fully reflect this.

Match Context

Manchester City sit 2nd in the FA Cup on 61 points. Their visitors Liverpool are 5th on 49. Manchester City's recent form reads W. Liverpool come in with W.

Season Performance Comparison

MetricManchester CityLiverpool
Position2nd5th
Points6149
Record18W 7D 5L14W 7D 10L
Goals Scored60 (2/game)50 (1.6/game)
Goals Conceded28 (0.9/game)42 (1.4/game)
Goal Difference+32+8
xG44.9 (1.66/game)58.8 (2.03/game)
xGA34.8 (1.29/game)29.8 (1.03/game)
FormWW

The Odds

OutcomeConsensusImplied ProbPinnacleSharp (90th pct)
Manchester City Win1.8853%1.8454%
Draw4.2823%4.3224%
Liverpool Win4.2624%4.4124%

Based on 41 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Manchester City.


Odds correct at time of writing. Check latest prices on wagerbase. View full predictions for FA Cup.