The Verdict

Goals look likely — Manchester United average 1.8 scored and 1.4 conceded per game; Brentford: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded. That's 3.3 combined goals per game. A note of caution on Manchester United: scoring 1.8/game from just 1.71 xG. That overperformance is borrowed time.

Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals

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Monday 27 April at 19:00 | Premier League

Manchester United sit 3rd in the Premier League on 58 points. Their visitors Brentford are 9th on 48. Manchester United's recent form reads WLDWL. Brentford come in with DDDDD.

Season Numbers

Metric	Manchester United	Brentford
Position	3rd	9th
Points	58	48
Record	16W 10D 7L	13W 9D 11L
Goals Scored	58 (1.8/game)	48 (1.5/game)
Goals Conceded	45 (1.4/game)	44 (1.3/game)
Goal Difference	+13	+4
xG	51.2 (1.71/game)	49.7 (1.66/game)
xGA	34.5 (1.15/game)	41.4 (1.38/game)
Form	WLDWL	DDDDD

xG Analysis

Manchester United are outscoring their xG by 7.8 this season (1.71 xG/game). Brentford underperform xG by 3.7 (1.66 xG/game).

Game State Performance

Manchester United's xG is trending upward (1.9 last 3 vs 1.4 prior). Brentford's xG has dipped recently (1.9 last 3 vs 2.7 prior).

Key Players