Saturday 14 March at 17:30 | La Liga
Oviedo sit 20th in the La Liga on 18 points. Their visitors Valencia are 12th on 32. Oviedo's recent form reads DLLDL. Valencia come in with WWLWL.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Oviedo | Valencia |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 20th | 12th |
| Points | 18 | 32 |
| Record | 3W 9D 15L | 8W 8D 11L |
| Goals Scored | 17 (0.6/game) | 30 (1.1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 44 (1.6/game) | 41 (1.5/game) |
| Goal Difference | -27 | -11 |
| xG | 29.5 (0.98/game) | 42.5 (1.42/game) |
| xGA | 45.8 (1.53/game) | 33.2 (1.11/game) |
| Form | DLLDL | WWLWL |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Oviedo Win | 3.03 | 33% | 3.12 | 35% |
| Draw | 3.32 | 30% | 3.25 | 31% |
| Valencia Win | 2.70 | 37% | 2.69 | 38% |
Based on 51 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Valencia.
The Verdict
With 51 bookmakers unable to separate these two, the draw at 3.32 (30% implied) deserves serious consideration. This has low-scoring written all over it. A combined 1.7 goals per game between these two points firmly toward Under 2.5.
Best bet: Draw at 3.32
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