Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea: Champions League Preview

Match Preview

Paris Saint Germain vs Chelsea: Champions League Preview

Generated 11 March 2026 at 07:01

Wednesday 11 March at 20:00 | Champions League

Paris Saint Germain sit 11th in the Champions League on 14 points. Their visitors Chelsea are 6th on 16. Paris Saint Germain's recent form reads DLDWL. Chelsea come in with WWLWD.

Season Numbers

MetricParis Saint GermainChelsea
Position11th6th
Points1416
Record4W 2D 2L5W 1D 2L
Goals Scored21 (2.6/game)17 (2.1/game)
Goals Conceded11 (1.4/game)10 (1.3/game)
Goal Difference+10+7
xG59.4 (2.2/game)27.1 (1.69/game)
xGA31.2 (1.15/game)18.2 (1.13/game)
FormDLDWLWWLWD

The Odds

OutcomeConsensusImplied ProbPinnacleSharp (90th pct)
Paris Saint Germain Win2.1746%2.1647%
Draw3.8726%3.8827%
Chelsea Win3.5728%3.5829%

Based on 55 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Paris Saint Germain.

The Verdict

Regression watch: Chelsea are converting at an unsustainable rate from 1.69 xG.

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