The Verdict
Goals look likely — RB Leipzig average 1.8 scored and 1.3 conceded per game; TSG Hoffenheim: 2.1 scored, 1.3 conceded. That's 3.9 combined goals per game. TSG Hoffenheim have been finishing above their xG all season. The surplus is a warning sign for backers.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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Friday 20 March at 19:30 | Bundesliga
RB Leipzig sit 5th in the Bundesliga on 47 points. Their visitors TSG Hoffenheim are 3rd on 50. RB Leipzig's recent form reads LWWDD. TSG Hoffenheim come in with DWLDW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | RB Leipzig | TSG Hoffenheim |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 5th | 3rd |
| Points | 47 | 50 |
| Record | 14W 5D 7L | 15W 5D 6L |
| Goals Scored | 48 (1.8/game) | 54 (2.1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 35 (1.3/game) | 34 (1.3/game) |
| Goal Difference | +13 | +20 |
| xG | 58 (1.93/game) | 49.6 (1.65/game) |
| xGA | 44.3 (1.48/game) | 46.2 (1.54/game) |
| Form | LWWDD | DWLDW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| RB Leipzig Win | 2.01 | 50% | 1.98 | 50% |
| Draw | 4.29 | 23% | 4.41 | 24% |
| TSG Hoffenheim Win | 3.70 | 27% | 3.71 | 28% |
Based on 56 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward RB Leipzig.
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