The Verdict
With 51 bookmakers unable to separate these two, the draw at 3.21 (31% implied) deserves serious consideration. Santa Clara are creating 1.15 xG per game but only converting 0.9. An offensive uptick is due.
Best bet: Draw at 3.21
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Saturday 21 March at 18:00 | Primeira Liga
Santa Clara sit 13th in the Primeira Liga on 25 points. Their visitors Gil Vicente are 5th on 42. Santa Clara's recent form reads WWDDL. Gil Vicente come in with DDLLW.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Santa Clara | Gil Vicente |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 13th | 5th |
| Points | 25 | 42 |
| Record | 6W 7D 13L | 11W 9D 6L |
| Goals Scored | 23 (0.9/game) | 39 (1.5/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 31 (1.2/game) | 27 (1/game) |
| Goal Difference | -8 | +12 |
| xG | 34.5 (1.15/game) | 39.8 (1.33/game) |
| xGA | 32.8 (1.09/game) | 30.3 (1.01/game) |
| Form | WWDDL | DDLLW |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Santa Clara Win | 2.87 | 35% | 2.94 | 35% |
| Draw | 3.21 | 31% | 3.03 | 33% |
| Gil Vicente Win | 2.94 | 34% | 3.03 | 35% |
Based on 51 bookmakers. Agreement: 80% lean toward Santa Clara.
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