The Verdict
On expected goals, Leeds United (1.49/game) are the sharper attacking side. That gap matters over 90 minutes.
Best bet: Leeds United to win at 1.48
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Friday 1 May at 19:00 | Premier League
Leeds United sit 15th in the Premier League on 40 points. Their visitors Burnley are 19th on 20. Leeds United's recent form reads DWWDD. Burnley come in with LLLLD.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Leeds United | Burnley |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 15th | 19th |
| Points | 40 | 20 |
| Record | 9W 13D 12L | 4W 8D 22L |
| Goals Scored | 44 (1.3/game) | 34 (1/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 51 (1.5/game) | 68 (2/game) |
| Goal Difference | -7 | -34 |
| xG | 40.1 (1.49/game) | 25.8 (0.86/game) |
| xGA | 41.4 (1.53/game) | 55 (1.83/game) |
| Form | DWWDD | LLLLD |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Leeds United Win | 1.48 | 68% | 1.47 | 69% |
| Draw | 5.11 | 20% | 5.25 | 20% |
| Burnley Win | 7.90 | 13% | 7.63 | 14% |
Based on 57 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward Leeds United.
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