The Verdict
Goals look likely — Go Ahead Eagles average 1.7 scored and 1.5 conceded per game; AZ Alkmaar: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded. That's 3.4 combined goals per game. A note of caution on Go Ahead Eagles: scoring 1.7/game from just 1.29 xG. That overperformance is borrowed time.
Best bet: Over 2.5 Goals
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Thursday 23 April at 16:45 | Eredivisie
Go Ahead Eagles sit 11th in the Eredivisie on 36 points. Their visitors AZ Alkmaar are 6th on 48. Go Ahead Eagles's recent form reads DWLWL. AZ Alkmaar come in with WWLWL.
Season Numbers
| Metric | Go Ahead Eagles | AZ Alkmaar |
|---|---|---|
| Position | 11th | 6th |
| Points | 36 | 48 |
| Record | 8W 12D 10L | 14W 6D 10L |
| Goals Scored | 50 (1.7/game) | 52 (1.7/game) |
| Goals Conceded | 45 (1.5/game) | 45 (1.5/game) |
| Goal Difference | +5 | +7 |
| xG | 38.8 (1.29/game) | 57.3 (1.91/game) |
| xGA | 55.8 (1.86/game) | 38.4 (1.28/game) |
| Form | DWLWL | WWLWL |
The Odds
| Outcome | Consensus | Implied Prob | Pinnacle | Sharp (90th pct) |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Go Ahead Eagles Win | 3.10 | 32% | 3.08 | 33% |
| Draw | 4.00 | 25% | 4.00 | 26% |
| AZ Alkmaar Win | 2.34 | 43% | 2.35 | 44% |
Based on 50 bookmakers. Agreement: 100% lean toward AZ Alkmaar.
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